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Curated news items and Shale Markets originals.

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The LNG glut has been delayed, not cancelled - Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA)

A delayed LNG supply glut still points to weaker pricing power and more competition for new export volumes as the project pipeline catches up. For executives, that means sanction discipline and offtake security matter more than assuming a durable window for high utilization or elevated margins.

Sep 16, 2026
Buru Says Rafael Gas Project Holds Over 15 MMboe 2P Reserves

Buru’s reserve update gives the market a clearer view of the Rafael project’s scale and the gas volumes it could ultimately bring to Western Australia’s supply stack. For executives, the key signal is whether this discovery can justify further capital into the Canning Basin and support longer-term domestic gas sales.

Sep 16, 2026
China LNG Market Tracks Supply Constraints and Seasonal Restocking Ahead of Winter

China’s LNG market is being shaped by tight supply and pre-winter inventory building, which points to firmer import demand and a more active spot market heading into the heating season. For exporters and traders, that signals how quickly Chinese buying can tighten global LNG availability and support competing supply destinations.

Sep 16, 2026
No Trump Truce Seen as Kyiv Hits Volga Refinery

The strike on a Russian refinery keeps the war tied directly to fuel supply and refining capacity, which can tighten regional product balances and raise operational risk for downstream assets. For executives, it is another signal that Russian energy infrastructure remains exposed despite any diplomatic messaging around a truce.

Sep 16, 2026
LNG speed to market is crucial as prices crunch higher

Faster LNG project execution matters because buyers are willing to pay up for supply, which improves the case for sanctioning projects and compresses the window for competitors to capture demand. For executives, it signals that execution risk and time-to-market now matter as much as resource size in winning long-term export contracts.

Sep 16, 2026
Texas Pumped Over a Quarter of All U.S. Natural Gas in 2025

Texas remains the center of U.S. gas supply, which underscores how basin performance in the Permian, Eagle Ford, and other shale plays continues to drive national balance. For executives, this points to where takeaway capacity, processing, and drilling capital remain most strategically concentrated.

Sep 15, 2026
ADNOC Scoops Up Iraqi Crude at $25 Per Barrel Discount

ADNOC is using discounted Iraqi barrels to optimize its own processing slate and preserve more Emirati crude for export from routes that are less exposed to Hormuz risk. That signals a capital and logistics choice aimed at protecting market access and improving the competitiveness of ADNOC’s export system.

Sep 15, 2026
S&P Global: Refined product tightness deepens

Tightening gasoline and diesel inventories signals weaker downstream buffers and a higher risk of supply disruption if refinery outages or logistics problems emerge. For executives, that supports firmer product margins and a stronger case for keeping refining and product supply chains fully utilized.

Sep 15, 2026
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How Far Are We From 'Tank Bottom'?

This signals whether crude inventories are close to a floor, which matters for how executives think about storage economics and the timing of production and trading decisions. A durable bottom would point to tighter supply-demand balance and could support upstream cash flow and midstream utilization.

Sep 15, 2026
Santos Signs Long-Term LNG Agreements

Long-term LNG supply and offtake agreements help Santos lock in outlet security and keep its gas portfolio tied to Asian demand. For executives, it signals continued capital commitment to LNG growth and a tighter link between upstream supply, liquefaction capacity, and regional market access.

Sep 15, 2026
China, India LNG Demand Poised for Recovery as Global Supply Eases

Weaker LNG demand in China and India would ease pressure on importers and soften near-term competition for cargoes. For producers and LNG traders, that signals a more balanced market and potentially less urgency to lock up supply at premium terms.

Sep 15, 2026
IEA: Ukrainian drone campaign degrades Russian refining resilience

Russian refining is becoming a more exposed link in the supply chain, which can tighten domestic product availability and force Moscow to use exports and product standards as pressure valves. For executives, it signals higher operational risk for Russian refining assets and a stronger chance of regional product-market disruptions if outages persist.

OGJ - Refining & ProcessingEuropeRussiaRefiningGeopolitics
Sep 14, 2026
Production by Shale and Tight Formations

Shale and tight-oil output is a key signal for how much supply can be added quickly outside conventional fields. For executives, it speaks directly to capital allocation, basin competitiveness, and how much production growth can offset weakness elsewhere in the portfolio.

Sep 14, 2026
U.S. Shale Growth Has Fallen to a Trickle, and Only the Permian Is Still Adding Barrels

U.S. crude growth has slowed to a trickle in 2026, with the Permian carrying nearly all remaining gains as rig counts, pipeline capacity, and EIA forecasts shift.

Sep 14, 2026
U.S. Shale Growth Has Fallen to a Trickle, and Only the Permian Is Still Adding Barrels

U.S. crude growth has slowed to a trickle in 2026, with the Permian carrying nearly all remaining gains as rig counts, pipeline capacity, and EIA forecasts shift.

Sep 14, 2026
Diplomacy falters as Saudi oil supply faces five-day risk

Any disruption to Saudi supply matters because the kingdom remains a central swing source for global crude and policy signals around it can move trade flows quickly. For executives, the issue is less the headline risk window itself than what it says about the fragility of diplomacy around one of the market's most important supply hubs.

Sep 14, 2026
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IEA cuts 2026 oil supply outlook as Gulf recovery slips to 2027

The outlook points to a tighter global supply balance if Gulf production stays impaired longer than expected. For executives, that supports firmer upstream investment signals and raises the value of non-Gulf barrels, LNG-linked gas supply, and flexible trading positions.

Sep 14, 2026
Petronas and Metlen sign 20-year LNG deal

A long-term LNG supply deal signals recurring demand that can support upstream gas monetization and give the seller more visibility on future volumes. For an executive, it points to continued contract-driven competition in LNG markets rather than spot exposure alone.

Sep 14, 2026
LNG prices above $20 per mmBtu to hurt demand, GAIL chairman says

Higher LNG feedstock costs would pressure consumption in price-sensitive markets and can slow spot buying or contract renewals. For suppliers and project developers, it is a signal that demand growth may weaken if pricing stays elevated, affecting export utilization and investment timing.

Sep 14, 2026
Asian Refiners Seek Answers After Saudi Pipeline Shutdown

The shutdown puts a key Saudi export route under scrutiny and creates near-term uncertainty for refiners that rely on crude moving through Yanbu. It also highlights how security risks around Gulf transit can affect crude flows even when the market is not facing a full regional disruption.

Sep 14, 2026
BRICS agrees to safeguard energy flows as oil prices soar

The headline points to BRICS members prioritizing continuity of crude and gas supply, which matters because it signals a political push to reduce disruption risk in key trade flows. For executives, that can affect export routes, sanctions exposure, and the balance between secure supply and price volatility.

Sep 13, 2026
UAE Oil Exports Reach Pre-War Levels As West Asia Finds New Routes. Will Brent Crude Prices Fall?

UAE exports recovering to earlier levels suggests supply disruptions in the Gulf are easing, which matters for producers and traders watching how quickly regional barrels can return to market. The price impact depends on whether those flows add enough export capacity to loosen balances or simply reroute existing supply around risk points.

Sep 13, 2026
U.S. redirects 100 ships as Iran tensions grip key oil route

Rerouting ships away from a threatened choke point raises freight risk and can complicate crude and product flows even before any physical disruption occurs. For operators and traders, it is a signal to reassess exposure to Middle East transit routes, inventory positioning, and alternative supply paths.

Sep 12, 2026
S&P Global: Middle East crude flows to stay below prewar levels through 2027

Persistent weakness in Middle East crude flows signals that supply risk is becoming a structural planning issue for refiners, traders, and exporters rather than a short-term disruption. That keeps pressure on routing, storage, and source diversification decisions across the global market.

OGJ - General InterestGlobalMiddle EastCrude OilExports
Sep 12, 2026
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Saudi Arabia’s shutdown of key pipeline limits oil flow as Yemen hits back against Houthis

Saudi Arabia’s use of a key pipeline as a pressure point shows how quickly regional conflict can threaten export reliability and force producers to protect infrastructure and shipments. For executives, the signal is that Middle East transit risk can tighten supply without a broader market event, affecting planning for flows, storage, and contract fulfillment.

Sep 12, 2026

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